So, when wouldn't DCA be a good idea?
Turns out, about two-thirds of the time. Since the stock market generally goes up (notwithstanding the nearly two years of current market pain), by waiting to invest a lump sum of money, you miss out on more of the long-term price appreciation. Still, if and when you have a lump sum to invest, you don't know if we're about to enter a period of time when you would be better off investing all at once (two-thirds of such situations) or doing so over several months or longer (one-third of similar occasions). Like everything else, using dollar cost averaging is a trade-off between risk and reward. What would you do? What do you actually do? What do you think about dollar cost averaging?
By Michael Rubin, About.com Guide to Retirement Planning